Calgary Real Estate Blog

If you’ve seen anything in the news about residential real estate lately, it’s probably been doom-and-gloom talk about how sales in January were down nearly 40 percent from January 2014 – you know, the year of record sales when I barely had time to grab a coffee between appointments many days. That kind of talk sells newspapers (at least, as much as newspapers sell these days) and plays nicely into the narrative that Alberta’s on the cusp of an economic apocalypse, but the truth is, the market’s doing just fine, and should continue to do so throughout the year.

We’ll likely continue to see lower year-over-year sales and price increases in residential homes over the next few months, which is to be expected: not only is the lower oil price slowing our economy, but Calgary went from a red hot sellers’ market early last year to a more balanced and sustainable one in the latter half. That balance – having the right number of properties for sale in relation to the number looking to buy – is ideal, and healthy. Without needing to rush buying decisions, but still having plenty of selection from which to choose, Realtors like myself can better help home buyers find homes that meet their needs and satisfy their wants. (For more on buyers’ vs sellers’ markets, and some consideration on when is the right time to sell your home, visit here.)

Despite the actual number of sales going down in January, there was both an increase in the number of properties listed and a healthy 7.7 percent increase in the year-over-year benchmark selling price. Nothing to worry about on that front.

Could the market slow down significantly? Sure, it’s possible, especially with the talk of major cuts across the board in the next provincial budget. People who were on the fence about selling and are now afraid prices are going to crater will go ahead and list their homes to beat the rush, while others may decide to downsize as their personal financial situation changes. And without a doubt, this year’s market won’t be nearly as hot as 2014’s. Still, as you’re reading or watching news stories about the dire future of Calgary real estate, take a moment to remember the solid fundamentals on which our housing market is based; there’s no bubble to be found here, which means there may be a slowdown, but there won’t be a crash.

Questions about the right time to buy and sell in our current economy? Contact me!

Also: the Calgary Home + Garden Show is quickly approaching, and organizers have sent out a Valentine’s Day promotion. To buy tickets for the event (taking place February 26-March 1 at the BMO Centre) and save $5 in the process, click here and use the promo code LOVE. Offer is valid until February 18.

If you’re strapped for cash, is it more cost-effective to rent or to buy your home? This is the eternal question, amongst those who like to debate real estate strategy anyway, and I doubt I’ll solve it with a definitive answer here, but there are plenty of factors to consider when figuring out which method of putting a roof over your head is easier on the wallet.

Let’s start with renting. When you rent your place, your landlord is responsible for pretty much all the maintenance and upkeep; unless you decide to do something cosmetic on your own dime – paint the bathroom pink, for example – your rent covers anything and everything. Furnace conks out? Not your problem (other than being cold until it’s fixed). Roof is due for repair? The owner’s gotta pony up. Freak hailstorm rips off your siding? You get the idea. Add to this absolution from financial obligation the fact that you need only purchase tenant’s insurance covering the cost of your belongings – and not homeowner’s insurance that includes the property itself – and renting can appear to be a real bargain.

Of course, rental rates in Calgary are famously high, and rising. Mayor Nenshi actually used the ‘g’ word in describing some landlords’ policies in recent years. You’ll almost always pay significantly more in rent than you would on a mortgage each month.

So let’s look at homeownership. First off, you’ve got to pull together a down payment of at least 5 percent of the property’s value. So buying a $300,000 home would necessitate at least a $15,000 deposit – a fair stretch more than the first and last months’ rent needed to secure a rental property. Once you’ve bought, though, your monthly mortgage payments can look pretty sweet compared to rent. With a 4 percent fixed interest rate and a 25 year amortization, that $285,000 mortgage would require about $1500 per month in payments (maybe a little more when factoring in CMHC insurance – we aren’t being exact here); the average rental rate for a two-bedroom home in Calgary is about $1600. Consider that every payment you make on your home is building equity, as opposed to disappearing into a black hole, and the value of ownership becomes clearer.

Of course, as an owner you take on the financial responsibilities renters get to ignore: home maintenance is perpetual, homeowners’ insurance is more expensive (although its still pretty cheap), and property tax bills show up each year. There’s no getting around the fact that if you’re living paycheque to paycheque, you may be better off renting, at least until you can build up a nest egg.

If you can swing it at all, though, maybe by cutting expenses somewhere or picking up some extra hours, long-term home ownership definitely provides the greatest financial security. Each month you own more of your property, giving you equity that can be leaned upon in tough times or built up as part of a retirement strategy. Mortgage payments are not just checking off shelter on your list of necessities, they are also improving your financial future. Don’t like maintenance or yard work? Consider a condo, which can give you the financial leg up without the hassle of owning a lawn mower.

The decision to rent or to buy is deeply personal, revolving around your own individual circumstances and financial goals. If you’re interested in talking about your options with a professional, contact me today with no obligation.

One question I get asked from time to time is, “How do you get paid?”, and its a pretty good query. Some misinformed folks think a brokerage house provides a monthly salary, while others believe Realtors are paid from both the buyer and the seller of a property. Here’s how it all really goes down, in simplified terms:

Realtors work strictly on commission, payable at the close of a deal. That means the real estate agent who works to sell a home for three months, spending time and incurring costs, gets no money in return if the property doesn’t end up selling. That’s just a cost of doing business. The commission amount is negotiable, both in the total percentage and in the split between the listing and the selling agent. Traditionally in Calgary, for an average house, the commission works out to about 4 percent (7% of the first $100,000 + 3% of the balance) with half going to the seller’s agent and half to the buyer’s agent.

Some agents must also share their commission with their broker, meaning that an individual Realtor could end up with as little as a quarter of the commission on the sale as gross pay, depending on their broker agreement.

As Realtors, we are running a small business and as such have a laundry list of expenses that must be paid from the commissions: office space, technology updates, photography, home staging, advertising, MLS fees, and so on.  To be successful, then, an agent must maintain a good number of listings and clients at all times, offer the absolute best possible customer service, give back to the community, and maintain a rainy day fund.

Hopefully this is illuminating to those thinking of buying or selling with a Realtor: know that the agent won’t get paid until they deliver a result, and a lot of that money is spoken for well in advance of the cheque being cashed. Not that one can’t make a very good living as an excellent Realtor, but you certainly earn your pay.

A short article in the latest edition of CREBNow points out that, with house prices continuing to increase each month (Calgary’s growing faster than anyone), it’s becoming more difficult for young families to follow the traditional middle-class progression of graduation-marriage-first home-family-bigger home. Starter homes are selling for far beyond what a dream home might have cost in our parents’ day and, especially when interest rates inevitably increase, it can be difficult to ‘move up’ without a big boost in salary.

So what to do about this? How about picking the right starter home so that it can grow with your family over several years rather than seeming poorly suited for your family situation after just a year or two. With the right planning and a little vision, you can find that ideal property and plan to develop it as your family grows.

When shopping for that first home, look for a solid, well built and well-kept property with potential. Can an unfinished basement be finished to add a third bedroom and play area? Is there space to build a garage with a loft for storage? How about knocking out a wall to increase the size of the kitchen, or adding a sunroom-style mudroom to the back entrance to hold winter coats and boots. These types of upgrades, while far from free, can be a lot more cost-effective than shopping for a new home with comparable amenities. And by smartly investing in your current property, you’re boosting the resale value and socking away equity for when you really are in a position to move.

Beyond the property itself, carefully consider your neighbourhood – and consult with a professional familiar with the demographics of the area. If you are starting a family, is the home you’re considering located in a family-friendly area, with respected day homes and preschools nearby, plenty of park space, and kids riding their bikes in the evenings? How about grocery stores and restaurants? Is the commute to work reasonable, with transit options? Is this a place you could see yourself calling home ten years from now?

The days of buying a home with the intention of moving up in a couple of years are, for many people, coming to a close. But with the right advice and some careful thought, stretching that first home’s usefulness can really put you ahead in the long run.

This coming weekend is the Calgary Home + Design show; if you plan on attending and would like 50 percent off your ticket price (who wouldn’t?), use this link and enter promo code SHOWWEEK on checkout. Enjoy the show!

In the news a few days ago was the story of Derek Johnson, a man who allegedly posed as a Realtor, under an assumed name, to illegally obtain the title of a home in foreclosure. It reportedly cost the victim several thousand dollars, over the course of more than half a year, to reclaim his home’s title. Johnson has been fined by the Real Estate Council of Alberta $50,000 for posing as a Realtor; this is not the first time Johnson has been in trouble with the Council.

This story serves as a reminder to anyone seeking to engage in a real estate transaction that the licence status of any real estate professional or brokerage may be easily verified through the Real Estate Council of Alberta’s website. Using the public search, you can instantly confirm that the professional with whom you intend to do business is indeed in good standing with the RECA.

Realtors need to be licenced by RECA, and to uphold the organization’s standards of conduct to maintain that licence.

There’s a plethora of other useful information on the site as well, so I encourage you to take a few minutes to surf through it if you are considering entering the market as either a buyer or seller.

On a side note, the Calgary Home + Design Show is coming September 18-21, and I have a promo code that’ll save $5 off your tickets if you buy before August 26: click here, and enter the code SAVEFIVE.

We all know Alberta’s economy is leading the country growth-wise, but you might be surprised to find out our growth rate is nearly double the national average, and is a fair sight ahead of what was accomplished last year. No wonder, then, that the period from April 2013-2014 reportedly saw Calgary’s population increase more than ever before in the city’s history. Nearly 39,000 people became Calgarians, either through immigration or by being born, which is about 25 percent more than in 2012-2013. Alberta is the Land of Opportunity, with more than four million residents and counting.

That opportunity is certainly being seized by home builders: there were more new homes started between January and April of this year than in all of 2013.

Despite higher land costs and increased home prices, it’s still a seller’s market because demand is outdoing the supply. That may level off slightly in the coming year or so, but there’s not really any reason to think a major economic cool down is on the horizon; people will continue to flock to the home of the Greatest Outdoor Show on Earth.

Not at all unsurprisingly, according to the Calgary Real Estate Board’s most recent statistics the tide is starting to turn with regard to supply and demand in the city’s market. More specifically, June 2014 saw nearly 30 percent more new listings added than one year earlier. As homeowners see their neighbours’ properties selling in days for above asking price, it’s only natural that they’d think about listing themselves.

Interestingly, however, Calgary’s surrounding towns are also seeing a boom. Cochrane and Okotoks are becoming prime locations for commuters looking to stretch their home buying dollar by a few percent; sales in Airdrie are up a whopping 40 percent year-over-year.

Add these communities’ properties to our own market, and there are more and more homes for buyers to choose from, which will inevitably cause prices to plateau at some point. I highly doubt we’ll see any significant downward pressure on prices – with Calgary’s population growing by more than 4 percent every year, we’ll have plenty of people looking to buy for the foreseeable future – but if the growth dials down a bit, it might be a little easier for those looking to sell and move up to calculate what they’ll be able to afford.

As of May 1, CMHC – the Crown Corporation that insures homes purchased with less than a 20 percent down payment – will be raising its rates; a chart breaking down the new premiums is available here. This is a not-particularly surprising move, as the rising average home prices in Canada are increasing CMHC’s exposure to risk, which is not something an insurer likes to see happen.

And now a new announcement: self-employed workers without a means for third-party validation of their income will no longer be eligible for CMHC coverage.

While some first-time homebuyers, the group traditionally unable to come up with a 20 percent down-payment, may be discouraged by this news, it’s not at all a bad thing for the real estate market; indeed, it’s a step to help things stay healthy. As interest rates look to remain low for at least the next couple of years, it can be tempting for people to over-extend themselves financially with the hope that their property’s equity will grow fast enough to make the stretch worthwhile. CMHC’s job is to make sure mortgage lenders don’t end up on the hook for a bunch of homes their owners couldn’t actually afford, and it doesn’t have an endless pool of cash from which to draw to do this. Tightening up the rules a bit can help gently nudge potential homebuyers toward gaining a little more financial security prior to signing on the dotted line, which means a healthier market all around. Foreclosures aren’t good for anyone, and neither is CMHC having to drastically increase its premiums to cover a large amount of losses. Mild corrections like this one are just a way to keep people living relatively within their means, and I’m for it.

Well, the view out my window this weekend would seem to contradict my previous post’s allusion to the snow being gone and it being time for yard work to commence, but I guess that’s just the way 2014 is playing out, weather-wise. It sure hasn’t cooled our red-hot market, with year-over-year prices jumping a whopping ten percent. The average days-on-market numbers are better than they’ve been in years, which is great for sellers: the quicker a home sells, the more likely it is to be at or over asking price.

In more good news, Calgary, Toronto, and Vancouver were named the three most resilient cities in the world for real estate development, according to a Grosvenor Research report. Our relatively well thought out city planning, and large migration numbers are the main factor for Calgary’s positive showing here.

Easter weekend has passed, and I enjoyed both spending some quality time with my family, and eating a sugar-coma-inducing amount of chocolate. I hope you had similar fun!

As our market continues to favour sellers, there are more and more homes being sold for higher than asking, in remarkably short periods of time. In February, one out of every five properties sold in Calgary went for above list price, and buyers in March have been even more aggressive; I set up five showings for a condo last week on its first day on the market, and it sold within 24 hours.

This is the reality right now: supply is low, and demand is high, especially in attractive locations. But there are real downsides associated with getting caught up in a bidding war, of which I strongly caution you to be aware.

It’s easy to fall in love with a home when you tour it for the first time: if the seller’s done a good job presenting his property in its best possible light, it can look absolutely flawless. Stepping away for a couple of days, looking at other homes, then coming back to that first property can be a real eye opener, as the inevitable compromises and areas for improvement become more apparent. Unfortunately, when the market is as heated as it is right now, you simply don’t have the luxury of time to consider other options, since your offer will probably come in at the same time as several others. If you like a place, you’ll need to move fast, but be sure to keep your head on straight.

In the midst of a bidding war, logic can quickly go out the window, replaced by a desire to ‘win’ at all costs. That’s called game theory in economics; another name for it is the “winner’s curse.” Buying more home than you can afford, or removing important conditions like a home inspection, are actions that might secure your new property but be highly regrettable later. Even when time is a factor, it’s important to think hard before you act.

Your Realtor has his finger on the pulse of the market, and knows what sellers are expecting right now; he can help steer you to success without compromising your family’s financial well being. Listen to this expert, and heed his advice – make sure when a seller accepts your offer, it’s a reason for celebration and not a Pyrrhic victory.