Calgary Real Estate Blog

Alright, maybe not ever, but it’s pretty good; from Monday’s Financial Post: “Prices remain stable, perhaps maddeningly so for the legions of bubble mongers,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.

Yes, thanks to some new data from the Canadian Real Estate Association, there seems to be a turn in public opinion as to whether or not Canada’s in the midst of a housing bubble. More rational discourse has replaced the nearly-apocalyptic cries of some who still expected our country’s real estate market to follow the United States’ lead into a precipitous plunge.

Instead, we’re seeing healthier-than-expected growth, not just in Alberta, but nationwide. With a new Bank of Canada governor being installed, there’s the possibility of some minor policy shifts from the rockstar tenure (at least by banking standards) of outgoing governor Mark Carney, but I doubt any drastic moves will be made. They just don’t need to be. Household debt is a perennial problem, sure, but it’s not aggravated by an appetite for increasingly expensive homes; by and large, Canadians don’t especially care for being house poor.

I’m certain Alberta will continue to lead the country in home sales and rising property values, as we stand to be Canada’s turbocharged economic engine for some time to come, but it’s nice to see the rising tide lifting all of the ships, to mix some metaphors (unless the turbocharged engine was on a speedboat… Yeah, that’s it!).

It’s from a few months ago, but I thought it still worth drawing readers’ attention to: here’s an article from January’s Financial Post positing that so-called stubborn sellers are preventing a burst real estate bubble in Canada. It’s a good read.

Now this doesn’t really speak specifically to Calgary’s situation – we continue to set sales and price records, and I continue to work my butt off – but it does say something about the market’s health nationally. Sales are down in much of the country, yet prices aren’t really dropping. Without finding themselves suddenly underwater like so many unfortunate souls in the U.S., Canadians aren’t motivated to drop their selling price to move their properties quickly, and that means the market as a whole is remaining pretty stable. Barring a massive wave of unemployment or interest rates jumping up several points overnight, the spectre of a bursting real estate bubble in this country is, in my opinion, wildly overhyped.

Just one man’s opinion, of course, but it’s hard to see the future as dire when I so rarely get a day (or night) off.