Calgary Real Estate Blog

I’ve been talking a lot in this space about how Calgary’s housing market is outperforming all comers; well, here’s more proof: we broke a record in February for the highest average selling price for single family homes. The figure, $518,452, comes in a little over two percent higher than the previous record set in 2007 (also known as Calgary’s most recent boom). Now, of course there are extenuating factors coming into play here – notably the fact that the all-time most expensive home sale in the city’s history closed last month, as did a record number of other $1 million plus sales – so CREB’s benchmark numbers are maybe a little more useful when determining what the average Calgarian entering the market is looking at. Those put the typical single-family home at about $440,000, which is still close to $90,000 more than January’s national average.

So is Calgary’s market on-track to price itself out of reach for the average young family looking for a starter home? I don’t think so. The vast diversity of neighbourhoods – and their proximity to downtown – available to residents ensures there’s a price point for everyone, and as Mayor Nenshi wrote in the Herald last weekend, more than 22 square kilometres of serviced land are available for new development, enough to house hundreds of thousands of people at fair prices.

This has already been a banner year for me, and it’s only March; the proverbial sun is shining, so I’m making some hay. I did, however, find the time to add some new functionality to our website: our new, free Market Report tool allows you to see your neighbourhood’s detailed sales history, including addresses and prices. Check it out!

According to a RE/MAX report released today, Calgary’s housing market appreciated by a significant amount over the past ten years – the average house price in the city jumped 108 percent, compared with the national average 15 percent lower. While the bulk of the gains were made in the first half of the decade thanks to the 2008 economic slowdown, the vast majority of property owners have seen a nice bump in their equity.

Will the next decade have similar gains in store? No one knows for sure but I’d say probably. Alberta’s economy is among the strongest in the country, despite some budgeting pain making the news lately, and the outlook is good for it to stay that way. For my money, Calgary’s a great market to get into right now.

Despite the attention-grabbing headline – “Calgary housing market ‘seriously unaffordable’ – the Calgary Herald’s story from a couple days ago on the latest Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey (DIHAS) isn’t dire news. For nine years running, this survey has measured something called the median multiple across more than 300 cities around the world, and ranks them for affordability. The median multiple is calculated by dividing median house prices in the area by residents’ median before-tax income, and this year Calgary’s median multiple was 4.3, which the organization calls ‘seriously unaffordable’.

Interestingly, the article goes on to cite an RBC Economics Research study showing the Calgary market hit its most affordable levels in years in Q3 2012, the same quarter the DIHAS looked at.

So what’s going on here? If Calgary’s market is so unaffordable, why are sales already up more than ten percent, year-over-year (and why am I so rarely at home watching TV with my wife in the evenings)? Calgary’s luxury market had a record year in 2012, with 544 homes selling for more than $1 million; that beats 2007’s record high by nearly 100 sales, and would skew the median multiple at least a bit. So, perhaps there’s a flaw in the methods used to compile the DIHAS, and perhaps ‘the Alberta Advantage’ makes us a fairly unique case. Taxes in the province are extremely low (some would say too low), and that means the difference between pre-tax and post-tax income for Calgarians is not the same as in, say, Vancouver. Combine that with continued bargain basement interest rates, and we’ve still got a pretty attractive environment in which families can find a place to make their own. Are houses here more expensive here than they used to be? Sure they are. To deem them ‘seriously unaffordable’, given all the angles and not just median income, though, seems like a stretch.