Calgary Real Estate Blog

It’s nice to see that, notwithstanding the record-high prices and country-leading growth Calgary’s real estate market has been enjoying, it remains among the most affordable markets in the country.

“Well, that’s weird,” you say. “How could a highly-valued market also be an affordable one?” Easy: despite some revenue dips, Alberta’s still rocking and rolling on the economy front. Our version of a ‘tough times’ budget would be welcomed with open arms in many other provinces, especially Ontario and BC, which are the two other biggest provinces for real estate sales. In the article cited above, RBC’s Affordability Index listed bungalows in Calgary at requiring just under 39 percent of an average household’s pre-tax income; in BC, that number is 82 percent.

Many of us make good money for honest work in Alberta, and we like to put it into our homes. Fortunately a middle class family here can afford to do that without having to live on just 18 percent of our gross. That kind of Alberta Advantage helps to make up for snow in May, doesn’t it?

Despite the attention-grabbing headline – “Calgary housing market ‘seriously unaffordable’ – the Calgary Herald’s story from a couple days ago on the latest Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey (DIHAS) isn’t dire news. For nine years running, this survey has measured something called the median multiple across more than 300 cities around the world, and ranks them for affordability. The median multiple is calculated by dividing median house prices in the area by residents’ median before-tax income, and this year Calgary’s median multiple was 4.3, which the organization calls ‘seriously unaffordable’.

Interestingly, the article goes on to cite an RBC Economics Research study showing the Calgary market hit its most affordable levels in years in Q3 2012, the same quarter the DIHAS looked at.

So what’s going on here? If Calgary’s market is so unaffordable, why are sales already up more than ten percent, year-over-year (and why am I so rarely at home watching TV with my wife in the evenings)? Calgary’s luxury market had a record year in 2012, with 544 homes selling for more than $1 million; that beats 2007’s record high by nearly 100 sales, and would skew the median multiple at least a bit. So, perhaps there’s a flaw in the methods used to compile the DIHAS, and perhaps ‘the Alberta Advantage’ makes us a fairly unique case. Taxes in the province are extremely low (some would say too low), and that means the difference between pre-tax and post-tax income for Calgarians is not the same as in, say, Vancouver. Combine that with continued bargain basement interest rates, and we’ve still got a pretty attractive environment in which families can find a place to make their own. Are houses here more expensive here than they used to be? Sure they are. To deem them ‘seriously unaffordable’, given all the angles and not just median income, though, seems like a stretch.