Calgary Real Estate Blog

Despite the attention-grabbing headline – “Calgary housing market ‘seriously unaffordable’ – the Calgary Herald’s story from a couple days ago on the latest Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey (DIHAS) isn’t dire news. For nine years running, this survey has measured something called the median multiple across more than 300 cities around the world, and ranks them for affordability. The median multiple is calculated by dividing median house prices in the area by residents’ median before-tax income, and this year Calgary’s median multiple was 4.3, which the organization calls ‘seriously unaffordable’.

Interestingly, the article goes on to cite an RBC Economics Research study showing the Calgary market hit its most affordable levels in years in Q3 2012, the same quarter the DIHAS looked at.

So what’s going on here? If Calgary’s market is so unaffordable, why are sales already up more than ten percent, year-over-year (and why am I so rarely at home watching TV with my wife in the evenings)? Calgary’s luxury market had a record year in 2012, with 544 homes selling for more than $1 million; that beats 2007’s record high by nearly 100 sales, and would skew the median multiple at least a bit. So, perhaps there’s a flaw in the methods used to compile the DIHAS, and perhaps ‘the Alberta Advantage’ makes us a fairly unique case. Taxes in the province are extremely low (some would say too low), and that means the difference between pre-tax and post-tax income for Calgarians is not the same as in, say, Vancouver. Combine that with continued bargain basement interest rates, and we’ve still got a pretty attractive environment in which families can find a place to make their own. Are houses here more expensive here than they used to be? Sure they are. To deem them ‘seriously unaffordable’, given all the angles and not just median income, though, seems like a stretch.